Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.902607 1.016694 1.141164 1.287286 1.454437 1.640030 1.862201
2025-01-12 0.719428 0.871667 1.051670 1.281225 1.567644 1.915110 2.371407
2025-01-19 0.596033 0.756749 0.956904 1.226380 1.582567 2.041209 2.682876
2025-01-26 0.536825 0.708625 0.932078 1.247019 1.684286 2.277009 3.153363
2025-02-02 0.492566 0.672289 0.914958 1.270876 1.786816 2.518707 3.655622
2025-02-09 0.452404 0.635782 0.891659 1.280406 1.866022 2.731394 4.137278
2025-02-16 0.417827 0.602806 0.868673 1.285719 1.936425 2.934819 4.625713
2025-02-23 0.393228 0.581410 0.859501 1.309081 2.034347 3.187876 5.221469
2025-03-02 0.358370 0.541162 0.817828 1.276955 2.039475 3.291102 5.577250
2025-03-09 0.340971 0.525989 0.812908 1.301916 2.138642 3.557475 6.246251
2025-03-16 0.317377 0.498906 0.786532 1.288520 2.170681 3.710981 6.729007
2025-03-23 0.301122 0.482204 0.775267 1.298905 2.243866 3.942839 7.385543
2025-03-30 0.280382 0.456898 0.748346 1.280844 2.266422 4.088849 7.903414
2025-04-06 0.263201 0.436297 0.727770 1.272156 2.305319 4.269876 8.517768
2025-04-13 0.240225 0.404000 0.684401 1.217981 2.252528 4.267398 8.747884
2025-04-20 0.231146 0.395234 0.681603 1.238439 2.345234 4.561911 9.656016
2025-04-27 0.223244 0.387913 0.680691 1.262117 2.446271 4.884092 10.672162
2025-05-04 0.213937 0.377331 0.672912 1.271573 2.518988 5.154555 11.608725
2025-05-11 0.204788 0.366364 0.663526 1.276846 2.583185 5.413344 12.555675
2025-05-18 0.198554 0.360392 0.663092 1.300029 2.687667 5.772885 13.806198
2025-05-25 0.186167 0.341879 0.637113 1.268149 2.668448 5.848481 14.344295
2025-06-01 0.181167 0.337283 0.638058 1.292919 2.778048 6.236700 15.765062
2025-06-08 0.172326 0.324579 0.621930 1.279626 2.799259 6.415782 16.647487